Betting on horse racing is normally based upon a history of horse form in one shape or another. Betting on two year old races however demands a very different strategy, especially early in the season. There are situations where you may have more value than the betting price might suggest if you learn to specialise in this arena.
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Without the usual form history you would have with older horses, you are left to read between the lines a little more. This can become an art in itself and normally you meet people that either bet on two year old races and specialise, and many also that avoid these races like the plague!
The earliest that any horse is allowed to race under rules in the UK is two years old. That figure however can be a little misleading, due to the system used for identifying a horses' age as any foal born between January to June of the same year would be considered a two year old!
This is very much worth taking in to account when betting on horse racing. As you can imagine, with such a large variation of birth date, the actual maturity and therefore strength and physical progression of any two year old can vary considerably. Be sure to check the actual foaling date of each horse in the form guide. This clue alone can lead you to many winners!
Combine this selection method also with the Sire line (Male parent) producing precocious and talented two year olds and again you may be on your way to uncovering even more winners.
The stable should be taken in to account especially here also, there really are stables considerably better at readying a two year old than others; especially first time out! Godolphin and Mark Johnston spring to mind.
Richard Hannon works his genius all season with his two year olds. In a hot spell you can almost back them blind. However be warned that often the stables 'second string' priced at 20/1 can romp home. Therefore you can back both using the Dutch Betting method.
Six furlong races are very much worth looking at during the early two year old season. Many of the two year olds start over the minimum trip of five furlongs. At some point they may be pitched in to race over six. The horses in these races that have already run over this distance seem to hold a serious advantage over their untested peers! Each race they undertake helps to build and strengthen their constitution and physical capability. If the selection also is the top rated on season form (for that race) then you have a serious selection that will more than likely win or place.
No matter how many of these guidelines seem to match, one rule is solid rule is to never back any two year old at odds on prices. No matter what form or breeding these horses have, odds on two year olds offer terrible value and should be avoided, the lesser fancied selections are able to progress past the more fancied runners in a matter of days!
Betting on horse racing can be complicated and you need to learn not only what signs to look out for, but also when to take them seriously.If you want to take betting on two year old races seriously these pointers can help arm you for battle!
In virtually all sports events, one competitor is the favorite, or the team most likely to win, and the other is the underdog. You also hear the favorite referenced as the betting chalk and the underdog as simply the dog. Prior to the launch of the internet sports betting professionals found the best value each week on betting the underdogs. There simply wasn't enough data for bettors to improve their craft as 10x10bet betting articles were rarely found outside of Las Vegas. The recreational bettor in their journey from cities across the country into Las Vegas sportsbooks would usually bet on the favorites because they had little to no data to make educational sports betting decisions. The launch of the internet gave sports bettor's valuable tools to aid their betting. Also the rise of sports betting radio saw professional sports bettors give outstanding betting advice to listeners and suddenly the sports betting public had become educated. Today's bettors have been trained to look at the underdog first making sports handicapping a more challenging puzzle.
In order to make wagering more even, the linesmaker draws up an odds line, or the odds. Today's professional Las Vegas and online sportbook bettors set their own pointspreads. Instead of looking at the underdog side at first glance, they make their own numbers and look for the greater variances between their numbers and the current betting line. Professional sports gamblers then circle games on their betting sheet with the greater variances and begin to do thorough research on the game. Sports betting professionals will sift through injury reports and individual teams websites to look for data to help support a cause to bet on the game that gives them the best value in the betting. Value is defined as the variance between the actual betting line and the line the professional bettor made based on their power rating. The side with the greatest positive variance for the sports bettor on the sports betting board would be the side possessing the greatest value in the betting. Let's say the Eagles are playing the Cardinals and the current line shows the Eagles as a 5 point favorite. Based on the power rating of the professional sports bettor the Eagles are computed to be only a 1 point favorite. After putting in the research and in return it shows no impact injuries or bad weather the sports betting professional will then place a bet on the Cardinals. The size of the bet will vary but usually the greater the variance the bigger the bet.
Professional bettors make their pointspreads based on their own power rating. Tracked by computer programs professional sports betting professionals will input statistical data that they feel is the most important in determining the proper line of a game. Sports betting professionals will weigh variables such as run defense and run offense from NFL teams very heavily in their computer software program. Other key categories include home field advantage, passing offense and defense, special teams and turnovers.
In baseball, soccer and hockey betting moneyline odds are favored by American bookmakers and, therefore, are often referred to as American odds. With this format, the odds are quoted using either a positive or a negative number. A negative number indicates the favorite, and the odds show how much money you'll have to risk to win $100. A positive number indicates the underdog, and the odds show how much money you'll win on a $100 wager. When the odds are listed as EVEN, you'll win exactly what you wager. A standard line, where the odds are -110 for both teams, indicates that neither team is favored to win. The best practice sports betting professionals follow are to create a percentage chance of victory for both betting sides and then comparing that with the actual current moneyline odds posted at a Las Vegas or online sportsbook. The betting professional will then look for the positive variances on the betting sheet and put in the research to help make a cause for a bet that gives them the best value in the betting.